Who will win the election for Maine's 2nd Congressional District in 2024?

Started Jun 21, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 05, 2024 08:01AM UTC

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election this November, with Republicans fighting to maintain control of the closely divided House (270 to Win, Ballotpedia).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 5 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 72%
The Republican Party candidate 28%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 33
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 163
Number of Forecasts 115
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 429
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.16828
2.
-0.163608
3.
-0.155573
4.
-0.154119
5.
-0.112896

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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