In NY Times v. Microsoft/OpenAI, will a federal court issue any injunctive relief for the NY Times against any named defendant related to the use of its copyrighted materials to train large language models (LLMs) before 1 March 2025?
Closed Mar 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
On 27 December 2023, the New York Times Company (NY Times) filed a civil complaint in the US District Court for the Southern District of New York seeking, among other things, action by the court to prevent Microsoft and OpenAI from using its intellectual property to train LLMs like ChatGPT without compensation (AP, CNBC, NY Times v. Microsoft, et al.). Whether the relief takes the form of an injunction or restraining order is immaterial (Cornell - Injunctive Relief, Cornell - FRCP Rule 65). Injunctive relief as to the use of an LLM trained with NY Times' copyrighted material would count. Whether injunctive relief is stayed pending appeal is immaterial.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 7% | |
| No | 93% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 138 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
