Closing May 01, 2017 06:59AM UTC

Will Ethiopia be under a state of emergency as of 1 May 2017?

In response to more than a year of protests, Ethiopia declared a six-month nationwide state of emergency on 8 October 2016 (Al Jazeera).

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If you liked this question, try forecasting on whether there will be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before the end of the year or on the next state to experience anti-government mass protests in the Arab world.

Name Probability
Yes, nationwide 45%
Yes, but only in some areas 30%
No 25%

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