Who will be the 2024 Democratic Party nominee for US president?
Started
Jul 21, 2024 08:30PM UTC
Closed Aug 06, 2024 03:00AM UTC
Closed Aug 06, 2024 03:00AM UTC
Challenges
On 21 July 2024, President Joe Biden announced that he would no longer seek reelection (X - Joe Biden, Politico). If no presidential candidate has been nominated by the Democratic Party before 23 August 2024, the close date will be extended.
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The question closed "Kamala Harris" with a closing date of 5 August 2024.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Andy Beshear | 0% | |
Pete Buttigieg | 0% | |
Hillary Clinton | 1% | |
Roy Cooper | 0% | |
Kamala Harris | 96% | |
Mark Kelly | 1% | |
Amy Klobuchar | 0% | |
Wes Moore | 0% | |
Gavin Newsom | 0% | |
Michelle Obama | 0% | |
Jared Polis | 0% | |
J.B. Pritzker | 0% | |
Gina Raimondo | 0% | |
Josh Shapiro | 1% | |
Tim Walz | 0% | |
Raphael Warnock | 0% | |
Gretchen Whitmer | 0% | |
Someone else | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 197 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 163 | |
Number of Forecasts | 344 |
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 429 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |