The 2024 race for the White House will be decided in battleground states (RealClearPolling, 270 to Win). The outcome will be determined based on which candidate wins the popular vote in the congressional district. Maine and Nebraska are the only two states that do not allocate their electoral votes solely to the winner of the statewide election (NPR).

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NOTE 21 September 2024: The question will close based on who wins the electoral vote associated with Nebraska's 2nd Congressional District. The candidate who wins that electoral vote will control the outcome of the question, irrespective of whether the state changes how it allocates its electoral votes.