Who will Donald Trump announce as his choice for Secretary of State?
Started
Dec 09, 2016 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 13, 2016 03:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 13, 2016 03:00PM UTC
Challenges
This question was closed on 'Rex Tillerson' with an end date of 13 December 2016 (CNN, Newsweek).
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President-elect Donald Trump has yet to announce his pick for Secretary of State (Politico, ABC News, NY Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump will host the other for an official state visit before 1 October 2017, or on whether the US will impose economic sanctions on Iran for activities related to a nuclear program.
President-elect Donald Trump has yet to announce his pick for Secretary of State (Politico, ABC News, NY Times). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
If you liked this question, you might also enjoy forecasting on whether Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump will host the other for an official state visit before 1 October 2017, or on whether the US will impose economic sanctions on Iran for activities related to a nuclear program.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| John Bolton | 0% | |
| Bob Corker | 0% | |
| Rudy Giuliani | 0% | |
| Dana Rohrabacher | 0% | |
| Mitt Romney | 0% | |
| Rex Tillerson | 100% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 81 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 157 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
