How many passing touchdowns will Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams throw in the 2024 NFL regular season?

Started Aug 23, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Caleb Williams, the first overall draft pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, is expected to start for the Chicago Bears in the 2024 regular season (Bleacher Report, Yahoo [NBC Sports]). The outcome will be determined using "NFL Player Passing Stats" data as reported by ESPN for the 2024 Regular Season (ESPN, click "Offense," then "Passing," then check the "TD" column). The team for whom Williams may be playing in the regular season is immaterial to the resolution. The question will close early if Williams, for whatever reason, will not be able to play another game in the regular season.

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The question closed "Between 15 and 21" with a closing date of 5 January 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 8 0%
Between 8 and 14 0%
Between 15 and 21 91%
Between 22 and 28 8%
Between 29 and 35 1%
Between 36 and 42 0%
Between 43 and 49 0%
50 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 30
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 301
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 424
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.051896
2.
-0.045097
3.
-0.019477
4.
-0.01549
5.
-0.011664

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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