Will at least one of the originally announced UK shows in the "Oasis Live '25" tour be canceled?

Started Sep 13, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 09, 2025 07:15PM UTC
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In August 2024, musicians Noel and Liam Gallagher announced they would return as Oasis for a new tour in 2025 (BBC, Billboard). On 27 August 2024, the originally announced UK shows included 12 dates scheduled to run from 4 July 2025 to 9 August 2025 (Billboard). The shows announced for Ireland and subsequently added for the UK are immaterial. The postponement of any originally announced UK shows to a date after 16 August 2025 would be considered a cancellation. A venue change alone will count as a cancellation if the new venue cannot host all ticket holders for that show. A general public announcement by the band, Noel Gallagher, and/or Liam Gallagher that the tour will not take place will count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 9 August 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 10%
No 90%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 45
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 172
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.236571
2.
-0.227876
3.
-0.223763
4.
-0.218275

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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