What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for "Wicked," according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Oct 15, 2024 08:00AM UTC
Closed Nov 23, 2024 08:01AM UTC

"Wicked" is the big screen version of the popular Broadway musical prequel to "The Wizard of Oz" starring Cynthia Erivo and Ariana Grande (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 22 November 2024 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the weekend of 22-24 November 2024 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). The film is scheduled to be released on 22 November 2024 (Deadline, Screen Rant). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly. "Domestic" refers to gross box-office revenue from North America (US, Canada, and Puerto Rico) (IMDb - Box Office Mojo FAQ).

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The question closed "$72 million or more" with a closing date of 25 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $12 million 1%
At least $12 million, but less than $24 million 1%
At least $24 million, but less than $36 million 1%
At least $36 million, but less than $48 million 3%
At least $48 million, but less than $60 million 5%
At least $60 million, but less than $72 million 12%
$72 million or more 77%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 128
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 133
Number of Forecasts 382
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 305
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.078136
2.
-0.078136
3.
-0.078136
4.
-0.078136
5.
-0.077859

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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