Who will win the 2024 Country Music Association (CMA) Award for New Artist of the Year?

Started Oct 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 20, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The 58th CMA Awards are scheduled for 20 November 2024 (CMA Awards - Nominees, CMA Awards - About).

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NOTE 5 November 2024: In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.


The question closed "Megan Moroney" with a closing date of 20 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Megan Moroney 58%
Shaboozey 33%
Nate Smith 5%
Mitchell Tenpenny 1%
Zach Top 2%
Bailey Zimmerman 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 11
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 134
Number of Forecasts 24
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 307
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.346789
2.
-0.239756
3.
-0.225852
4.
-0.014463
5.
-0.011111

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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