Which song will win the 2024 Country Music Association (CMA) Award for Song of the Year?

Started Oct 24, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 20, 2024 08:01AM UTC

The 58th CMA Awards are scheduled for 20 November 2024 (CMA Awards - Nominees, CMA Awards - About).

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NOTE 5 November 2024: In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.


The question closed ""White Horse" (Chris Stapleton, Dan Wilson)" with a closing date of 20 November 2024.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
"Burn It Down" (Hillary Lindsey, Parker McCollum, Lori McKenna, Liz Rose) 13%
"Dirt Cheap" (Josh Phillips) 6%
"I Had Some Help" (Louis Bell, Ashley Gorley, Charlie Handsome, Hoskins, Austin Post, Ernest Keith Smith, Morgan Wallen, Chandler Paul Walters) 20%
"The Painter" (Benjy Davis, Kat Higgins, Ryan Larkins) 4%
"White Horse" (Chris Stapleton, Dan Wilson) 57%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 14
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 134
Number of Forecasts 31
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 307
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.297989
2.
-0.242919
3.
-0.24177
4.
-0.109022
5.
-0.080937

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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