How many workers in the US will be involved in major work stoppages that begin in 2025, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Union strikes in the US have been on the rise in recent years (USA Today, ABC News, National Law Review). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using the data as first published by the BLS for 2025, expected in February 2026 (BLS - Work Stoppages, BLS - Work Stoppage Data). For 2023, BLS, which defines a major work stoppage as involving "1,000 or more workers and lasts at least one shift during the work week, Monday through Friday excluding Federal holidays," reported 33 major work stoppages beginning in the year and involving 458,900 workers (BLS - Major Work Stoppages in 2023).
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The question closed "At least 250,000, but fewer than 375,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 125,000 | 15% | |
| At least 125,000, but fewer than 250,000 | 46% | |
| At least 250,000, but fewer than 375,000 | 36% | |
| At least 375,000, but fewer than 500,000 | 2% | |
| At least 500,000, but fewer than 625,000 | 1% | |
| 625,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 22 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 110 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
