Who will win the 2025 Grammy for Song of the Year?

Started Nov 08, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 02, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The 2025 Grammy Awards are scheduled for 2 February 2025 (Grammy.com - News, Grammy.com - Nominees List). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner (Grammy.com - Voting Process).

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The question closed "“Not Like Us,” Kendrick Lamar, songwriter (Kendrick Lamar)" with a closing date of 2 February 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
“A Bar Song (Tipsy),” Sean Cook, Jerrel Jones, Joe Kent, Chibueze Collins Obinna, Nevin Sastry and Mark Williams, songwriters (Shaboozey) 12%
“Birds of a Feather,” Billie Eilish O’Connell and Finneas, songwriters (Billie Eilish) 42%
“Die With a Smile,” Dernst Emile II, James Fauntleroy, Lady Gaga, Bruno Mars and Andrew Watt, songwriters (Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars) 9%
“Fortnight,” Jack Antonoff, Austin Post and Taylor Swift, songwriters (Taylor Swift featuring Post Malone) 6%
“Good Luck, Babe!,” Kayleigh Rose Amstutz, Daniel Nigro and Justin Tranter, songwriters (Chappell Roan) 9%
“Not Like Us,” Kendrick Lamar, songwriter (Kendrick Lamar) 15%
“Please Please Please,” Amy Allen, Jack Antonoff and Sabrina Carpenter, songwriters (Sabrina Carpenter) 6%
“Texas Hold ’Em,” Brian Bates, Beyoncé, Elizabeth Lowell Boland, Megan Bülow, Nate Ferraro and Raphael Saadiq, songwriters (Beyoncé) 2%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 21
Average for questions older than 6 months: 178
Number of Forecasts 76
Average for questions older than 6 months: 519
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.473698
2.
-0.451986
3.
-0.14812
4.
-0.111669
5.
-0.072506

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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