J-Z asks:

What will bitcoin's 7-day average hash rate be on 21 May 2025, according to Blockchain.com?

Started Nov 22, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 21, 2025 07:01AM UTC

The bitcoin network's hash rate is a measure of computational activity on the network (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 20 May 2025 and the outcome determined using "Total Hash Rate (TH/s)" data as reported in the US (your location in the world may impact how the site dates prices) by Blockchain.com, where "TH/s" means terahashes per second (Blockchain.com, set "Average" to "7D" and the time span to "1Y"). As of the launch of this question, the 7-day average hash rate for bitcoin on 21 May 2024 was 598,741,962.271 TH/s, or 598.741962271 million TH/s. Data will be accessed for resolution no sooner than 23 May 2025.

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The question closed "At least 860 million TH/s, but less than 920 million TH/s" with a closing date of 22 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 500 million TH/s 0%
At least 500 million TH/s, but less than 560 million TH/s 0%
At least 560 million TH/s, but less than 620 million TH/s 0%
At least 620 million TH/s, but less than 680 million TH/s 0%
At least 680 million TH/s, but less than 740 million TH/s 0%
At least 740 million TH/s, but less than 800 million TH/s 1%
At least 800 million TH/s, but less than 860 million TH/s 54%
At least 860 million TH/s, but less than 920 million TH/s 44%
At least 920 million TH/s, but less than 980 million TH/s 1%
At least 980 million TH/s, but less than 1.04 billion TH/s 0%
At least 1.04 billion TH/s, but less than 1.10 billion TH/s 0%
1.10 billion or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 170
Number of Forecasts 143
Average for questions older than 6 months: 500
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.046063
2.
-0.030911
3.
-0.016259
4.
-0.01428
5.
-0.012137

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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