Will SpaceX successfully catch a Starship rocket before 1 July 2025?
Closed Jul 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
After a successful launch and controlled ocean landings executed on 19 November 2024, SpaceX is expected to eventually attempt to "catch" the Starship vessel itself after another successful flight (USA Today, WCCF Tech, Payload). A catch will be considered successful upon the ship being "caught" as intended after a space flight reaching an altitude of at least 100 km (Britannica - Karman Line, X - Elon Musk). A capture of the booster alone will not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 46 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 216 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |