Who will the US Democratic National Committee elect as its new leader?
Started
Nov 29, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 01, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Challenges
The Democratic National Committee is planning to elect its new chair on 1 February 2025, and the names of a number of potential candidates are being floated (ABC News, Politico, CBS News). The date the newly elected leader will fill the position is immaterial.
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The question closed "Ken Martin" with a closing date of 1 February 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Laphonza Butler | 1% | |
| Rahm Emanuel | 1% | |
| Ken Martin | 50% | |
| Mallory McMorrow | 1% | |
| Martin O'Malley | 1% | |
| Chuck Rocha | 1% | |
| Max Rose | 1% | |
| Ben Wikler | 41% | |
| Someone else | 5% | |
| No new leader will be elected before 3 March 2025 | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 20 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 152 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 126 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 405 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
