Will Yoon Suk Yeol cease to be the president of South Korea before 5 July 2025?
Closed Apr 04, 2025 02:30AM UTC
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol surprised many by declaring martial law on 3 December 2024, which the National Assembly promptly voted to lift pursuant to Article 77 of the South Korean constitution (AP, CNBC, Hankyoreh). Impeachment and removal are governed by Article 65 of the South Korean constitution, and the procedure of the Constitutional Court in cases of impeachment is governed by the Constitutional Court Act, which includes a 180-day time limit to decide a case (South Korea Constitution, South Korea Constitutional Court Act).
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The question closed "Yes, after being impeached, removed, and the removal upheld by the Constitutional Court" with a closing date of 3 April 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, after being impeached, removed, and the removal upheld by the Constitutional Court | 61% | |
| Yes, but by means other than impeachment and removal upheld by the Constitutional Court | 21% | |
| No | 19% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 95 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 151 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 426 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 402 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
