In SHLB Coalition v. Consumers' Research and/or FCC v. Consumers' Research, will the Supreme Court rule that any aspect of the FCC's administration of the Universal Service Fund violates the nondelegation doctrine?

Started Dec 06, 2024 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 27, 2025 02:30PM UTC
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The Universal Service Fund (USF) is a mechanism to raise revenue from communication service companies in order to subsidize communication service for various groups, including low-income customers and rural health care providers (FCC - USF). Various parties sued the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) asserting that the statutory and regulatory scheme used to assess charges for the USF are unconstitutional delegations under the nondelegation doctrine (Congress.gov - Nondelegation Doctrine). After parties prevailed in the Fifth Circuit and were denied review in the Eleventh Circuit, the Supreme Court agreed to consolidate the cases for review (CBS News, National Association of Counties, SCOTUSblog - SHLB Coalition v. Consumers' Research, SCOTUSblog - FCC v. Consumers' Research). The Supreme Court is expected to hand down its decision in its 2024 term, but if it does not, the question will close as "No." If the Court decides these cases without addressing this question's particular issue of law, the question will close as "No." If the Court rules that there is a violation of the nondelegation doctrine in either case, the question will close "Yes."

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 27 June 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 9%
No 91%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 18
Average for questions older than 6 months: 170
Number of Forecasts 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 501
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.114143
3.
-0.110123
4.
-0.10181
5.
-0.091022

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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