Which series will win the 2025 Golden Globe for Best Television Series - Drama?

Started Dec 11, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 05, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The Golden Globes are scheduled for 5 January 2025 (Golden Globes). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Shogun" with a closing date of 5 January 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Diplomat 22%
Mr. & Mrs. Smith 2%
Shogun 58%
Slow Horses 8%
Squid Game 4%
The Day of the Jackal 7%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 20
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 130
Number of Forecasts 35
Average for questions in their first 3 months: 298
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.07248
2.
-0.07248
3.
-0.066576
4.
-0.054528
5.
-0.052812

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username