Will Anthony Weiner win a New York City (NYC) City Council Democratic primary election in 2025?

Started Dec 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Former Representative Anthony Weiner has filed paperwork to run for NYC City Council in 2025, though he had not officially announced his candidacy as of 12 December 2024 (AP, The Hill, Spectrum NY1). The City Council primaries are scheduled for 24 June 2025 (NYC Campaign Finance Board). The question will close "No" upon Anthony Weiner publicly stating that he will not run in a Democratic primary for a NYC City Council seat.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 24 June 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 8%
No 92%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 32
Average for questions older than 6 months: 171
Number of Forecasts 74
Average for questions older than 6 months: 504
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.017011
2.
-0.015614
3.
-0.015189
4.
-0.015189
5.
-0.014949

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username