Before 1 January 2026, will Kamala Harris publicly announce that she will run for governor of California in 2026?

Started Dec 18, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 30, 2025 07:10PM UTC

After losing the 2024 US presidential election, Vice-president Kamala Harris is reportedly considering the next steps in her political career (CNN). The establishing an exploratory committee alone will not count (e.g., ABC San Diego). The question will close "No" upon Kamala Harris publicly stating that she will not run for governor of California in 2026.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 30 July 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 38%
No 62%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 68
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 201
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.199779
2.
-0.199779
3.
-0.199779
4.
-0.198887
5.
-0.198887

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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