Who will win the Democratic primary for the New Jersey gubernatorial election in 2025?
Started
Jan 03, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 10, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 10, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The Democratic primary race to replace term-limited Gov. Phil Murphy was already crowded at the beginning of 2025 (WHYY, Newsweek). The Democratic primary is expected to be held on 10 June 2025 (New Jersey Monitor).
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The question closed "Mikie Sherrill" with a closing date of 10 June 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Ras Baraka | 4% | |
| Shereef Elnahal | 3% | |
| Steven Fulop | 1% | |
| Josh Gottheimer | 11% | |
| Matt Platkin | 2% | |
| Mikie Sherrill | 72% | |
| Sean Spiller | 2% | |
| Steve Sweeney | 4% | |
| Someone else | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 11 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 170 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 44 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 500 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
