Who will be elected governor of Virginia in 2025?

Started Jan 03, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 04, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Virginia's next general election is scheduled for 4 November 2025, which will include the state's race for governor (Ballotpedia). Party primaries are scheduled for 17 June 2025, with Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Sears and Democratic US Rep. Abigail Spanberger seen as the front-runners for the nominations of their respective parties (Virginia Department of Elections, NBC News).

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The question closed "The Democratic Party candidate" with a closing date of 4 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
The Democratic Party candidate 83%
The Republican Party candidate 16%
Someone else 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 211
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.133207
2.
-0.120819
3.
-0.117544
4.
-0.102521
5.
-0.086193

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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