Zauchka asks:
In what place will Canada's Liberal Party rank in seats won in the next Canadian general election for the House of Commons?
Closed Apr 29, 2025 02:00AM UTC
Canada is due to hold federal elections by October 2025, but mounting troubles for Prime Minister Justin Trudeau may hasten early elections (Center for Strategic & International Studies, Government of Canada, Yahoo [Reuters], 338Canada). In the event of a tie, the party with more total votes in the elections will be considered to have won more seats. In the event of a split in a party or a merger of parties, further resolution instructions will be provided. When the election date is set, the closing date will be adjusted accordingly.
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The question closed "First" with a closing date of 28 April 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| First | 77% | |
| Second | 22% | |
| Third | 1% | |
| Fourth or lower | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 44 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 150 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 234 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 400 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
