Who will the Liberal Party of Canada elect as its new leader?
Closed Mar 09, 2025 10:30PM UTC
On 6 January 2025, Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, who is also the leader of the Liberal Party, announced that he intends to "resign as party leader, as prime minister, after the party selects its new leader," with the Canadian parliament to be prorogued (i.e., suspended) until 24 March 2025 (CNN, BBC). The date the newly elected leader will fill the position is immaterial.
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The question closed "Mark Carney" with a closing date of 9 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Anita Anand | 0% | |
| Mark Carney | 88% | |
| George Chahal | 0% | |
| François-Philippe Champagne | 0% | |
| Christy Clark | 0% | |
| Chrystia Freeland | 10% | |
| Mélanie Joly | 0% | |
| Dominic LeBlanc | 0% | |
| Someone else | 1% | |
| No new leader will be elected before 7 April 2025 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 49 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 148 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 163 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 396 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
