Who will win a New York City (NYC) Democratic primary election for mayor in 2025?
Started
Jan 17, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Jun 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The race for mayor of NYC is heating up as incumbent Mayor Eric Adams faces corruption charges (City and State New York, Newsweek, Politico). The primary elections for NYC mayor are scheduled for 24 June 2025 (NYC Campaign Finance Board).
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The question closed "Zohran Mamdani" with a closing date of 24 June 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Adams | 0% | |
| Andrew Cuomo | 86% | |
| Letitia James | 0% | |
| Brad Lander | 1% | |
| Zohran Mamdani | 13% | |
| Zellnor Myrie | 0% | |
| Christine Quinn | 0% | |
| Jessica Ramos | 0% | |
| Scott Stringer | 0% | |
| Jumaane Williams | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 27 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 170 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 500 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
