How many total vehicles will Rivian produce in 2025?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Electric vehicle manufacturer Rivian came in under its target production number of 57,000 vehicles in 2024, but expects vehicle production to increase in 2025 (The Verge, MSN [Bloomberg], US News & World Report). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using Rivian's "Production & Delivery" press release for "Q4 & Full Year" of 2025 (Rivian - Investors, see under "Quarterly Results"). In 2024, Rivian reported producing 49,476 vehicles (Rivian Q4 2024 Production and Delivery Figures). If Rivian does not publish full-year results, open-source information will be used to determine the number of deliveries.
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The question closed "At least 40,000, but fewer than 46,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 40,000 | 1% | |
| At least 40,000, but fewer than 46,000 | 79% | |
| At least 46,000, but fewer than 52,000 | 6% | |
| At least 52,000, but fewer than 58,000 | 7% | |
| At least 58,000, but fewer than 64,000 | 6% | |
| At least 64,000, but fewer than 70,000 | 1% | |
| At least 70,000, but fewer than 76,000 | 0% | |
| At least 76,000, but fewer than 82,000 | 0% | |
| 82,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 12 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 154 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 89 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 458 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
