Which film will win the 2025 Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?
Started
Jan 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 02, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Closed Mar 02, 2025 08:01AM UTC
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The 97th Academy Awards, known as the Oscars, are scheduled for 2 March 2025 (Oscars, NPR). In the event of a tie, the film with the higher box office total through and including 2 March 2025 according to Box Office Mojo would be deemed the winner.
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The question closed "Conclave (Peter Straughan)" with a closing date of 2 March 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| A Complete Unknown (James Mangold and Jay Cocks) | 3% | |
| Conclave (Peter Straughan) | 84% | |
| Emilia Pérez (Jacques Audiard; Thomas Bidegain, Léa Mysius and Nicolas Livecchi) | 1% | |
| Nickel Boys (RaMell Ross & Joslyn Barnes) | 11% | |
| Sing Sing (Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar; Story by Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John "Divine G" Whitfield) | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 28 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 68 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
