Which US state will rank first in U-Haul's Growth Index in 2025?

Started Jan 24, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
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U-Haul, the moving equipment and storage company, compiles a list each year of US states ranked based on its net gain or loss "of customers utilizing one-way U-Haul equipment in a calendar year," which was topped by South Carolina in 2024 after ranking fourth in 2023 (UHaul Growth Index 2024, UHaul Growth Index 2023). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using data as reported by U-Haul for 2025, expected in early January 2026 (UHaul - Migration). In the event of a tie, the state with the lower population using the latest Census Bureau population data available as of the release of the 2025 rankings will be considered to rank first. For the purposes of this question, the District of Columbia is considered a state.

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The question closed "Texas" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Florida 3%
North Carolina 4%
South Carolina 9%
Tennessee 1%
Texas 82%
Another state 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 23
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 92
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.209165
2.
-0.198937
3.
-0.151185
4.
-0.142482
5.
-0.141598

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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