Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary elections?

Started Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 08, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Norway is scheduled to hold elections for the Storting, Norway's unicameral parliament, on 8 September 2025 (US News & World Report, Government of Norway [in Norwegian], Vlag.no - Elections). In the event of a tie, the party with more total votes in the elections will be considered to have won more seats. In the event of a split in a party or a merger of parties, further resolution instructions will be provided.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Conservative Party (Høyre) 22.10% +2.80% +0.60%
Labour Party (Arbeiderpartiet) 21.30% +4.70% +1.40%
Progress Party (Fremskrittspartiet) 56.00% -7.50% -1.60%
Another party 0.60% 0% -0.40%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username