Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary elections?

Started Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Sep 08, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Norway is scheduled to hold elections for the Storting, Norway's unicameral parliament, on 8 September 2025 (US News & World Report, Government of Norway [in Norwegian], Vlag.no - Elections). In the event of a tie, the party with more total votes in the elections will be considered to have won more seats. In the event of a split in a party or a merger of parties, further resolution instructions will be provided.

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The question closed "Labour Party (Arbeiderpartiet)" with a closing date of 8 September 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Conservative Party (Høyre) 4%
Labour Party (Arbeiderpartiet) 92%
Progress Party (Fremskrittspartiet) 4%
Another party 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 36
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 144
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.290538
2.
-0.283721
3.
-0.266387
4.
-0.249182
5.
-0.228899

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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