Which driver will win the 2025 Formula One World Drivers' Championship?

Started Jan 31, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 07, 2025 08:01AM UTC

Formula 1 auto racing is one of the most popular sports in the world (Formula 1). The question will be suspended on 6 December 2025, the day before the final race in the season, if still open (Formula 1 - Driver Standings, Formula 1 - Abu Dhabi Grand Prix).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Lando Norris" with a closing date of 7 December 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lewis Hamilton 0%
Charles Leclerc 0%
Lando Norris 70%
Oscar Piastri 9%
George Russell 0%
Max Verstappen 21%
Another driver 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 70
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 392
Average for questions older than 6 months: 474
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.601168
3.
-0.216062
4.
-0.200309
5.
-0.165039

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username