Will any NATO member invoke Article 4 or Article 5 before 1 January 2018?

Started Feb 14, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC

Article 4 was invoked by Turkey in 2015 in response to developments in Syria and by Poland in 2014 in response to developments in Ukraine (Economist, NATO, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty). Article 5 has been invoked once, by the United States in response to a terrorist attack in 2001 (NATO). Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help.
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No NATO member invoked Article 4 or Article 5. This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

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Number of Forecasters 268
Average for questions older than 6 months: 219
Number of Forecasts 1336
Average for questions older than 6 months: 613
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