Which author's book will win the 2025 International Booker Prize?
Closed May 20, 2025 07:01AM UTC
The prestigious International Booker Prize "celebrates the best works of long-form fiction or collections of short stories translated into English and published in the UK and/or Ireland" (International Booker Prize). On 25 February 2025, the "longlist" of 13 nominees was announced, which is scheduled to be narrowed down to a "shortlist" of six books to be announced on 8 April 2025 and the winner announced in London on 20 May 2025 (Guardian, International Booker Prize 2025). In the event of a tie, the answer option listed first (top to bottom) among the tied nominees will be considered the winner.
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The question closed "'Heart Lamp' by Banu Mushtaq" with a closing date of 20 May 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| "The Book of Disappearance" by Ibtisam Azem | 8% | |
| "On the Calculation of Volume I" by Solvej Balle | 11% | |
| "There's a Monster Behind the Door" by Gaëlle Bélem | 5% | |
| "Solenoid" by Mircea Cărtărescu | 9% | |
| "Reservoir Bitches" by Dahlia de la Cerda | 4% | |
| "Small Boat" by Vincent Delecroix | 9% | |
| "Hunchback" by Saou Ichikawa | 4% | |
| "Under the Eye of the Big Bird" by Hiromi Kawakami | 16% | |
| "Eurotrash" by Christian Kracht | 6% | |
| "Perfection" by Vincenzo Latronico | 7% | |
| "Heart Lamp" by Banu Mushtaq | 13% | |
| "On a Woman's Madness" by Astrid Roemer | 3% | |
| "A Leopard-Skin Hat" by Anne Serre | 5% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 30 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 148 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 36 |
| Average for questions in their first 6 months: 396 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
