Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen before 1 January 2026?
Started
Mar 07, 2025 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Millions of Yemenis continue to face potential famine as drought, broadening conflict, and other factors continue (BBC, Euro-Med Human Rights Monitor, Reliefweb, World Food Programme). For general information on how famines are declared, see: BBC, NPR. The reporting of famine conditions without a UN famine declaration will not count (e.g., CBS News).
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 11% | |
| No | 89% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 48 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 124 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 464 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |