NameHere asks:
Will Christopher Luxon cease to be the prime minister of New Zealand before 1 November 2025?
Started
Mar 14, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
After leading his New Zealand National Party to victory in the 2023 general election, PM Luxon is facing low approval ratings as economic concerns in the country grow (Radio New Zealand, Guardian, New Zealand Herald).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 November 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 39 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 109 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
