What will be the domestic box office gross in the opening weekend for "Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning," according to Box Office Mojo?

Started Mar 14, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 24, 2025 07:01AM UTC
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"Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning" is the eighth installment of the Mission: Impossible franchise starring Tom Cruise (IMDb). The question will be suspended on 23 May 2025 and the outcome determined using non-estimate data as reported by Box Office Mojo for the Memorial Day weekend of 23-26 May 2025 (Box Office Mojo, see "Domestic Weekend"). If the release date is changed, the suspend date will be changed accordingly. "Domestic" refers to gross box-office revenue from North America (US, Canada, and Puerto Rico) (IMDb - Box Office Mojo FAQ).

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The question closed "At least $70 million, but less than $85 million" with a closing date of 27 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $40 million 1%
At least $40 million, but less than $55 million 2%
At least $55 million, but less than $70 million 14%
At least $70 million, but less than $85 million 53%
At least $85 million, but less than $100 million 24%
At least $100 million, but less than $115 million 4%
At least $115 million, but less than $130 million 1%
$130 million or more 1%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 15
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 53
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.111006
2.
-0.048126
3.
-0.031978
4.
-0.011161
5.
-0.009597

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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