What will be the closing value of shares of Tesla Inc (TSLA) on 3 October 2025?

Started Mar 14, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 03, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Challenges

As of 10 March 2025, shares of automaker Tesla had fallen more than 50% from its all-time high reached in December 2024 amid concerns about sales and CEO Elon Musk being distracted by his involvement with DOGE and the Trump administration (BBC, Yahoo, ABC News). The question will be suspended on 2 October 2025 and the outcome determined using closing price data as reported by Google Finance (Google Finance, set to "6M"). On 10 March 2025, Tesla shares had a closing value of $222.15. In the event that Tesla stock splits before 4 October 2025, the price value for use in resolution will be adjusted accordingly.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "At least $425.00, but less than $450.00" with a closing date of 3 October 2025.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $150.00 0%
At least $150.00, but less than $175.00 0%
At least $175.00, but less than $200.00 0%
At least $200.00, but less than $225.00 1%
At least $225.00, but less than $250.00 0%
At least $250.00, but less than $275.00 0%
At least $275.00, but less than $300.00 0%
At least $300.00, but less than $325.00 1%
At least $325.00, but less than $350.00 1%
At least $350.00, but less than $375.00 2%
At least $375.00, but less than $400.00 3%
At least $400.00, but less than $425.00 19%
At least $425.00, but less than $450.00 48%
At least $450.00, but less than $475.00 22%
$475.00 or more 3%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 56
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 354
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.438096
2.
-0.405342
3.
-0.395562
4.
-0.346072
5.
-0.337915

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username