Who will win the 2025 Romanian presidential election?

Started Mar 21, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed May 18, 2025 07:01AM UTC

Romania's 2024 presidential election was canceled by the country's constitutional court and ultimately rescheduled for May 2025 (BBC, Politico, Romania Insider). The first round of Romania's next presidential election is scheduled for 4 May 2025, with a runoff scheduled for 18 May 2025, if needed (Al Jazeera). If there is any ambiguity as to the outcome, the question will close upon officially announced results of the presidential election, irrespective of any judicial intervention. If the election is postponed, the closing date will be adjusted accordingly.

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The question closed "Nicușor Dan" with a closing date of 18 May 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Crin Antonescu 2%
Nicușor Dan 47%
Elena Lasconi 1%
Victor Ponta 2%
George Simion 48%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 37
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 146
Number of Forecasts 149
Average for questions in their first 6 months: 392
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.494588
2.
-0.492691
3.
-0.488686
5.
-0.444

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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