Will presidential and/or national legislative elections be held in Guinea in 2025?

Started Mar 21, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

The government of Guinea announced in March 2025 that elections will be held in 2025, which would be the first since a coup deposed the elected government in 2021 (Yahoo [Bloomberg], North Africa Post, Guardian). Whether results are annulled after the election is held is immaterial (e.g., BBC). The question will close early if the government of Guinea officially announces that no elections will take place in 2025.

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The question closed "Yes, only presidential elections" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only presidential elections 67%
Yes, only national legislative elections 0%
Yes, both presidential and national legislative elections 22%
No 12%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 14
Average for questions older than 6 months: 154
Number of Forecasts 59
Average for questions older than 6 months: 458
Accuracy
There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile.

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.630529
2.
-0.30388
3.
-0.086351
4.
-0.078212
5.
-0.044576

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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