Will presidential and/or national legislative elections be held in Guinea-Bissau in 2025?
Closed Nov 23, 2025 05:00PM UTC
After a series of delays, the government of Guinea-Bissau announced in March 2025 that elections will be held in November 2025 (MSN [Reuters], AP, BBC). Whether results are annulled after the election is held is immaterial (e.g., BBC). The question will close early if the government of Guinea-Bissau officially announces that no elections will take place in 2025.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Yes, both presidential and national legislative elections" with a closing date of 23 November 2025.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, only presidential elections | 2% | |
| Yes, only national legislative elections | 12% | |
| Yes, both presidential and national legislative elections | 79% | |
| No | 7% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 13 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 47 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| There are not enough forecasters in this question to generate an accuracy profile. |
