The CFA Society Los Angeles asks
Will the S&P 500 fall 20% or more in 2017?
Started
Feb 16, 2017 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2018 07:59AM UTC
This question will close as "yes" if any end-of-day closing value of the S&P 500 is at least 20% lower than the highest recorded closing value of the index in 2017 up to that date. Outcome will be determined by comparing the end-of-day closing values reported by Bloomberg ( Bloomberg).
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The S&P 500 did not fall 20% or more in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
The S&P 500 did not fall 20% or more in 2017. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 1.00% | |
| No | 99.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 661 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2096 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
