How well will Johannes Kaiser perform in Chile's 2025 presidential election?
Closing Dec 14, 2025 08:01AM UTC
Libertarian legislator Johannes Kaiser has seen growing support in the polls for Chile's 2025 presidential election (Yahoo [Bloomberg], Americas Quarterly). Chile is scheduled to hold a presidential election on 16 November 2025, with a second round between the first and second place winners to be held four weeks later if no candidate wins a majority of votes in the first round (Constitution of Chile, see Article 92). If Kaiser publicly announces that he will not seek the presidency, is barred from running, or otherwise cannot participate in the election, the question will close "Kaiser will place third or lower in the first round."
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| Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week | Change in last month |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiser will place third or lower in the first round | 0.50% | +0.50% | +0.50% | -0.21% |
| Kaiser will advance to the second round and lose | 27.00% | +2.86% | +2.86% | +5.29% |
| Kaiser will advance to the second round and win | 71.88% | -3.83% | -3.83% | -5.26% |
| Kaiser will win the presidency outright in the first round | 0.63% | +0.49% | +0.49% | +0.20% |