Started Sep 21, 2015 08:00PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 30, 2015 02:05PM UTC

Will Russians conduct airstrikes in Syria before 1 May 2016?

Russia has undertaken a military buildup in Syria in recent weeks, leading some to worry that Russia will intervene directly in the conflict (http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/09/09/us-mideast-crisis-syria-exclusive-idUSKCN0R91H720150909 , http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/06/us/politics/john-kerry-russia-syria.html , http://www.businessinsider.com/putin-syria-russia-assad-obama-2015-9 , http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-russia-syria-20150905-story.html ).

Final Crowd Forecast

95%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

294

Forecast
Count

415

Crowd Brier Score

0.0057


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.006
2.
-0.006
3.
-0.006
4.
-0.006
5.
-0.006

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