On 18 March 2025, Google announced an agreement to acquire Wiz, Inc. for $32 billion in cash, which is expected to trigger US antitrust scrutiny (Google 18 March 2025). Whether a complaint is filed by the Department of Justice or the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) is immaterial (FTC - Merger Review, Department of Justice - Merger Review Process, Investopedia - Antitrust). Regulatory treatment of the deal is seen as a test of the Trump administration's antitrust policy (CNBC, Yahoo [Reuters]). The question will close early if both Google and Wiz announce that they are no longer seeking to close the deal.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.