How much liquified natural gas (LNG) will the US export in 2025?

Started Apr 25, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC

US LNG exports have continued to climb as new infrastructure essential for exporting LNG comes online (Yahoo [Reuters], MSN [Wall Street Journal], EIA - Short-Term Energy Outlook April 2025). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2025 and the outcome determined using monthly data as reported by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) once data for December 2025 are first reported (EIA - US LNG Exports, download the monthly values and sum across all months in the year). As of the launch of this question, the EIA reported the US exported 4,367,171 million cubic feet (mcf) in 2024, or 4.367171 trillion cubic feet (tcf).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Less than 4.20 tcf 1.00% 0% 0%
At least 4.20 tcf, but less than 4.50 tcf 10.00% 0% 0%
At least 4.50 tcf, but less than 4.80 tcf 27.20% 0% +1.40%
At least 4.80 tcf, but less than 5.10 tcf 26.20% 0% -0.60%
At least 5.10 tcf, but less than 5.40 tcf 16.80% 0% -0.80%
At least 5.40 tcf, but less than 5.70 tcf 6.80% +1.00% +1.00%
At least 5.70 tcf, but less than 6.00 tcf 5.10% 0% 0%
At least 6.00 tcf, but less than 6.30 tcf 5.90% -1.00% -1.00%
6.30 tcf or more 1.00% 0% 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username