Will India extradite former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina to Bangladesh before 28 November 2025?

Started Apr 25, 2025 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 28, 2025 08:01AM UTC

The interim government in Bangladesh has been seeking former Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina's extradition from India, which has become a growing point of contention between the two neighbors (First Post, Deutsche Welle, MSN [Reuters]). Hasina resigned and fled to India amid widespread protests in July and August 2024 (BBC, AP). Hasina must be in Bangladeshi custody in Bangladesh to count, and extradition from a country other than India will not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 November 2025.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 160
Number of Forecasts 63
Average for questions older than 6 months: 475
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.000672
2.
-0.000284
3.
-0.000157
4.
-0.000145
5.
-0.000144

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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