How many Chamber of Deputies seats will Argentine President Javier Milei's La Libertad Avanza (LLA) win in the 2025 Argentine legislative elections?
Closed Oct 26, 2025 07:01AM UTC
President Milei will face his first nationwide electoral election since becoming president in 2023 (Americas Society/Council of the Americas, Peterson Institute for International Economics). Elections are currently scheduled for 26 October 2025, and 127 out of 257 deputy seats are up for election (Buenos Aires Herald). This question is only concerned with the outcome of the 2025 legislative elections. Seats held by LLA that are not up for election are immaterial. In the event of the renaming of a political group or its fragmentation into two or more parties, further instructions will be provided.
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The question closed "Between 60 and 69" with a closing date of 26 October 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 30 | 1% | |
| Between 30 and 39 | 12% | |
| Between 40 and 49 | 71% | |
| Between 50 and 59 | 15% | |
| Between 60 and 69 | 1% | |
| Between 70 and 79 | 0% | |
| 80 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 44 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 127 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
