Will rapper and producer Sean "Diddy" Combs be either 1) convicted of Racketeering Conspiracy in or 2) plead guilty to any charges related to his 2025 federal criminal trial?
Closing Sep 06, 2025 07:01AM UTC
Jury selection for Combs' criminal trial began on 5 May 2025, at which he is facing five charges, including a charge of Racketeering Conspiracy (NBC News, NY Post, USA Today). Combs rejected a plea deal offered by prosecutors in a hearing on 1 May 2025, though details of that deal were not released (CBS News). Any plea deal will count so long as it includes a guilty plea to Racketeering Conspiracy or a guilty plea to another charge or charges that results in the dismissal of the Racketeering Conspiracy charge. If the trial ends with a hung jury as to the count of Racketeering Conspiracy or the judge dismisses that charge for a reason other than a plea agreement between Combs and prosecutors, the question will close "No." For the purposes of this question, a nolo contendere (aka no contest) plea will be considered a guilty plea (Cornell - Nolo Contendere).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
Possible Answer | Crowd Forecast | Change in last 24 hours | Change in last week |
---|---|---|---|
Yes, Combs will be convicted of Racketeering Conspiracy | 47.40% | +0.50% | -13.07% |
Yes, Combs will plead guilty plea to a pertinent charge | 42.30% | +1.50% | +17.70% |
No | 10.30% | -2.00% | -4.63% |