How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between Memorial Day weekend and Labor Day weekend in 2025?
Closed Sep 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC
As the summer travel season approaches, some Americans are paring back vacation plans as staffing shortages create delays at some major US airports (CNBC, CBS News). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2025 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA). In 2025, Memorial Day weekend begins on Friday 23 May 2025, and Labor Day weekend ends on 1 September 2025. Over the same period in 2024 (24 May to 2 September), TSA screened 271,718,077 travelers, up from 256,343,290 over the same period in 2023 (26 May to 4 September).
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The question closed "At least 270 million, but fewer than 275 million" with a closing date of 2 September 2025.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 255 million | 1% | |
| At least 255 million, but fewer than 260 million | 2% | |
| At least 260 million, but fewer than 265 million | 13% | |
| At least 265 million, but fewer than 270 million | 13% | |
| At least 270 million, but fewer than 275 million | 62% | |
| At least 275 million, but fewer than 280 million | 6% | |
| At least 280 million, but fewer than 285 million | 2% | |
| At least 285 million, but fewer than 290 million | 1% | |
| At least 290 million, but fewer than 295 million | 1% | |
| 295 million or more | 1% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 14 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 84 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
