How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen between Memorial Day weekend and Labor Day weekend in 2025?

Started May 09, 2025 01:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 01, 2025 07:01AM UTC

As the summer travel season approaches, some Americans are paring back vacation plans as staffing shortages create delays at some major US airports (CNBC, CBS News). The question will be suspended on 31 August 2025 and the outcome determined using "TSA checkpoint travel numbers" as reported by the TSA (TSA). In 2025, Memorial Day weekend begins on Friday 23 May 2025, and Labor Day weekend ends on 1 September 2025. Over the same period in 2024 (24 May to 2 September), TSA screened 271,718,077 travelers, up from 256,343,290 over the same period in 2023 (26 May to 4 September).

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week
Fewer than 255 million 10.30% -0.92% -9.70%
At least 255 million, but fewer than 260 million 8.80% -0.53% -1.20%
At least 260 million, but fewer than 265 million 10.40% -0.49% +4.15%
At least 265 million, but fewer than 270 million 22.30% -0.48% +16.05%
At least 270 million, but fewer than 275 million 23.10% -2.01% -10.65%
At least 275 million, but fewer than 280 million 11.10% +0.43% +1.10%
At least 280 million, but fewer than 285 million 5.80% +1.02% -0.45%
At least 285 million, but fewer than 290 million 3.70% +1.26% -0.05%
At least 290 million, but fewer than 295 million 2.80% +0.80% -0.45%
295 million or more 1.70% +0.92% +1.20%

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