Before 1 January 2026, will Toyota announce a specific production vehicle model that will feature a hydrogen internal combustion engine (H2ICE) for public sale in any part of at least one major global market?
Closed Jan 01, 2026 08:01AM UTC
Toyota has been developing an H2ICE engine that produces energy by burning fuel, as opposed to using hydrogen to run fuel cells (Top Speed, El Adelantado). A "specific production vehicle model" means a named vehicle intended for mass production and sale to the general public, not a concept car or a vehicle solely for testing or racing purposes. "Major global markets" are defined as Japan, North America (i.e., the US and Canada), and Europe (i.e., the EU and UK). The outcome will be determined by official press releases, announcements on Toyota's official websites for these regions, and confirmed reports from reputable automotive news outlets indicating a specific model and its intended market availability. The particular model year must be included in the announcement to count.
This question is the shorter-term companion question of #4319. This question will be scored.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2026.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 12% | |
| No | 88% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 29 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 156 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 90 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 462 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |